the center of Severe Tropical Storm "URSULA"
was estimated based on all available data including Guiuan Doppler Radar
at 315 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.8 °N, 128.6 °E ).
Moving West Northwest at 30 kph
with maximum sustained winds of 95 kph near the center
and gustiness of up to 115 kph.
URSULA INTENSIFIES INTO A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
Between today and tomorrow noon:
Occasional to frequent heavy rains over Dinagat Islands, Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands, Eastern Visayas, Sorsogon, Masbate, northern and central Cebu, northern Negros Provinces, Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Iloilo, Guimaras and Romblon. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over the rest of Bicol Region, Quezon, Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, and the rest of Visayas and Surigao del Norte.
Between tomorrow noon and late evening:
Occasional to frequent heavy rains over Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Romblon, Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Batangas, and Calamian Islands. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over Cuyo Islands, Negros Provinces, Iloilo, Guimaras, Aurora, and the rest of CALABARZON.
Residents in these areas are advised to take appropriate measures to reduce the potential impact of flooding and rain-induced landslides, especially in areas identified to be highly to very highly susceptible to these hazards.
Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Moderate to strong winds to begin affecting Northeastern Mindanao and Eastern Visayas this morning or noon; Bicol Region and portions of Central Visayas this afternoon or tonight; CALABARZON, and portions of MIMAROPA and Western Visayas tomorrow morning; Metro Manila, Bulacan, and Bataan tomorrow morning or afternoon. Medium to high-risk structures may experience light damage.
Damaging gale to storm-force winds to begin affecting areas under TCWS#2 in Eastern Visayas this afternoon; in Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, and portions of Capiz, Iloilo, and northern Cebu tonight. This may bring light to moderate damage to high-risk structures and at most light damage to medium-risk structures.
Other Hazards and Warning Information:
"URSULA" is forecast make to landfall over Eastern Samar this afternoon or evening. The highest Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) that can be raised at the moment is TCWS #2. However, potential intensification into a Typhoon prior to landfall or while crossing the inland seas of the country is not yet ruled out. As such, there remains a possibility of hoisting TCWS #3.
Suspension of maritime activities may be experienced in areas where TCWS are in effect.
Rough sea conditions will prevail starting today over the eastern seaboards of the country; this afternoon or tonight over the inland waters of Southern Luzon and Visayas; tomorrow afternoon over the western seaboards of Southern Luzon. Sea travel is risky over these areas.